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Part 12 · Phased implementation

Implementation Roadmap — 5 Phases, 4 Gates

PH-0 design through PH-4 conditional target-scale operation — with measurable exit criteria, four evidence gates, and the 300,000 question deliberately parked at Gate 3.

The phasing logic

No calendar dates are assumed — the roadmap runs in months from authorization (M0) because the research refuses to invent an implementation date before feasibility is established. What is fixed is the evidence discipline: every phase has entry and exit criteria, every expansion passes a decision gate, and the 300,000 question is parked at Gate 3 — decided on five years of evidence, not on ambition.

The five phases

PhaseNameDurationCohort/yearScope & activitiesEntry/exit criteriaDecision gate
PH-0Design and legal preparation12 months0 (design only)Ministry of Education + UGC + Cabinet Division working group; drafting of primary legislation for the compulsory element (voluntary pilot under existing university autonomy); MOU templates; task catalogues; digital platform specificationEntry: political decision to explore; Exit: legislation drafted, platform procured, 10-15 universities and 5 upazilas signed upDecision gate 0: Ministry of Law confirms legal route (new statute for mandate; pilots on voluntary/credit-elective basis)
PH-1Voluntary pilot2 academic years5,000-10,000 students per year10-15 universities (mix: public direct, private, NU colleges in 3-4 districts) + host offices in 5 upazilas; voluntary enrollment in a credit-bearing service module; all safeguards live (protection officer, grievance, data MOUs)Entry: Gate 0 passed; Exit criteria: completion rate 85%+, no unresolved retaliation cases, duration-neutrality verified (no graduation delay vs matched peers), cost within 150% of medium estimateDecision gate 1: independent evaluation published; expansion only on evidence
PH-2Controlled expansion2 academic years50,000 students per year60+ universities across 8 divisions; NU college model begins (college-based placements near home); supervisor pipeline scaled to 2,500+; platform stress-testedEntry: Gate 1 passed; Exit criteria: completion 87%+, placement rate 95%+, unit cost declining, zero systemic data breachesDecision gate 2: second independent evaluation; Treasury commitment for full scale
PH-3National scale-up3 academic years100,000-200,000 per yearAll divisions; full sector coverage; NU colleges carry the majority of volume; supervisor corps 5,000-10,000; quarterly public reporting of participation and quality indicesEntry: Gate 2 passed; Exit criteria: sustained quality indices, fraud controls verified by external auditDecision gate 3: parliamentary review of the first 5 years; final decision on the 300,000 question
PH-4Target-scale operation (conditional)Open-endedUp to 300,000 per yearOnly if Gates 1-3 all passed AND the capacity model (CSV 16) is validated by actual phase 3 data: this target REQUIRES full NU college participation (finding PL-15) and 15,000 supervisorsEntry: Gate 3 passed; standing rule: scale never expands faster than the supervisor pipeline (RSK-09)Standing gates: annual independent audit; public dashboards; sunset review every 5 years
Exit criteria are measurable: completion ≥85–87%, placement ≥95%, no unresolved retaliation cases, duration-neutrality verified, cost within 150% of medium estimate, zero systemic data breaches.Source data: research CSV dataset (see Downloads)
Y0Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7Y8Y9Y10PH-0 · Design & legal prep12 moPH-1 · Voluntary pilot2 yrs · 5–10k/yrPH-2 · Controlled expansion2 yrs · 50k/yrPH-3 · National scale-up3 yrs · 100–200k/yrPH-4 · Target-scale (conditional)up to 300k/yrMonths from programme start (indicative — no calendar dates assumed before feasibility is established)
Figure 1. Indicative timeline (gates not to scale): Gate 0 at M12, Gate 1 at M36, Gate 2 at M60, Gate 3 at M96. PH-4 begins only if all gates pass and the capacity model is validated by actual PH-3 data.

The four decision gates

Gate 0 — the legal route (end of PH-0)Ministry of Law confirms: new statute for the compulsory element; voluntary/credit-elective pilots on existing authority. Platform procured; 10–15 universities and 5 upazilas signed up.
Gate 1 — pilot evidence (end of PH-1)Independent evaluation published: completion ≥85%, no unresolved retaliation cases, duration-neutrality verified against matched peers, cost within 150% of medium estimate. Expansion only on evidence.
Gate 2 — expansion evidence (end of PH-2)Second independent evaluation: completion ≥87%, placement ≥95%, unit cost declining, zero systemic data breaches; Treasury commitment for full scale.
Gate 3 — the parliamentary review (end of PH-3)Five-year review before Parliament: quality indices sustained, fraud controls verified by external audit — and the final decision on the 300,000 question.

PH-4 (target-scale operation) then runs under standing gates: annual independent audit, public dashboards, and a five-yearly sunset review. The standing rule from RSK-09 applies throughout: scale never expands faster than the supervisor pipeline.

Pilot selection criteria

PH-1 pilot participants are selected transparently: 10–15 universities mixing public direct, private top/mid-tier institutions across divisions (readiness-verified: funding, coordinators, student records); 3–4 districts and 5 upazilas with office-type diversity (health, education, administration, local government, agriculture); 5,000–10,000 students/year across discipline clusters matched to the task catalogue; all safeguards live from day one — protection officer, grievance channels, data MOUs, insurance. Selection criteria and outcomes are published: the pilot is itself a transparency instrument.